Gold on the Balance Beam
July 17, 2010  Analysis from Chris Kimble 

Veteran technical analyst Chris Kimble gives us a weekend look at a weekly chart of the GLD, the Gold ETF.

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Chris comments: It's too soon to tell, but a few things of importance seem to be taking shape.

The 2-year rising wedge is coming to an end. The bottom of the wedge is being tested and GLD is a fraction below the line.

My June 26th post (see chart below) pointed out that a "Fibonacci time cycle' was at hand. Gold closed that day at $1,255, currently it's at $1,188. Not a huge decline, yet the 144 fib cycle did appear to turn Gold's upward very positive momentum. The last time the 144 Fib cycle ended, gold declined around 20%. In a bull market for any asset, declines of this size can take place.

For those long, I would harvest some sweet gains if this support is taken out. Tor those wanting to score on defense, take positions on a break of support.

Yesterday Joe Friday observed that gold shares (GDX) are breaking support. Another potential falling off? Stay tuned!

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Footnote from dshort: For a balance beam contestant, in the event of a fall, once the athlete is on her feet she has ten seconds to remount the beam and continue the routine. If she does not return to the beam within this time limit, she is not permitted to continue.
For feedback or more information, email Chris at KimbleChartingSolutions@gmail.com.