Earlier this year, three weeks after retiring on his 100th birthday, Los Angeles County transit employee Arthur Winston died in his sleep. Winston had missed only one day of work in 72 years, and that was to attend his wife's funeral.
While Winston's achievement is one for the record books, a growing number of people claim they're following his example. According to a survey last year sponsored by the Society of Actuaries, 13% of pre-retirees say they'll never retire, up from 4% in 2001 and 8% in 2003. If the "work forever" attitude continues rising at this rate, we'll hit 100% in a little over 5 years -- right around Labor Day, 2011.
Professor of Finance Jeremy Siegel has a more plausible forecast. In the May 2005 Rule Your Retirement "Expert Corner" he predicted that the average retirement age in the U.S. will increase by about 10 years. Siegel recently renewed his prediction at the Milkin Institute's 9th annual Global Conference: "Life expectancy will continue to rise. But the retirement age will rise substantially more, I believe, from 62 today to 73 or 74 in the future."
The Benefits of Waiting
Whether your retirement decision is driven by your work ethic or limited resources, one thing is certain; if you work longer and delay nest-egg withdrawals, your retirement strategy benefits three ways:
|
Age at Retirement |
60 |
62 |
64 |
66 |
68 |
70 |
|
Salary at Retirement* |
60,000 |
62,000 |
66,100 |
70,300 |
74,600 |
78,900 |
|
Nest Egg** |
500,000 |
585,077 |
683,113 |
796,213 |
926,582 |
1,076,731 |
|
4% Withdrawal |
20,000 |
23,403 |
27,325 |
31,849 |
37,063 |
43,069 |
|
Social Security *** |
0 |
14,496 |
18,672 |
22,848 |
29,250 |
35,652 |
|
Retirement Income |
20,000 |
37,899 |
45,997 |
54,697 |
66,313 |
78,721 |
|
Salary Replacement |
33% |
61% |
70% |
78% |
89% |
100% |
The increasing retirement income is the combined effect of nest-egg growth, which more than doubles between ages 60 to 70, and Social Security benefits, which start at age 62 and increase steadily to age 70. The normal retirement age (NRA) for someone who is 60 this year is 66. By continuing employment to NRA, our retiree would be near the top of the 70%-80% salary replacement range often mentioned as a rule of thumb retirement income target. And delaying an additional four years would put the replacement income equal to the final pre-retirement salary.
Foolish Delaying Tactics
If delaying retirement seems like a winning strategy, here are some tactics to ensure success.
This article was originally published in the August 2006 Motley Fool Rule Your Retirement newsletter.